Will it be an enormous hit? No.
But look at the reasons most people trade in their H2s. It's not because they don't love the Hummer, it's because it lacks practicality, isn't easy to drive, is a gas hog, etc. The H3 solves a lot of these issues. The key is to make it as much of a Hummer and as prestigous as the H2, which I don't think they can do. Those folks who traded in their H2s did so for Range Rovers, Lexus, etc - they're not going to settle for a $30,000 pseudo-Trailblazer. I think the majority of the market will come from those who are looking for a daily driver to replace the family minivan and can't afford the H2, and those in the younger set who are looking for an alternative to the Jeep. Other than that, I agree - there's really not much of a market out there.
Stacy
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2003 yellow Lux, 12" Bulletproof lift, 42" Pitbull Rockers, 20" Ultra Predators, Corsa sport exhaust, painted interior
2004 Cadillac Escalade, white diamond, dual tip chrome exhaust, 20" chrome 9-spoke rims, altezzas - TOTALLED!!!! Replaced with a nondescript 2009 Chevy Tahoe
1970 VW Karmann Ghia, black with a flame job and too many mods to list
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